Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-27 196.115651 228.204337 265.310301 311.724802 368.696944 436.954131 525.840742
2025-08-03 154.914470 195.289193 247.010683 319.404672 420.217772 558.916348 770.193632
2025-08-10 129.848148 172.495127 230.986093 319.475250 454.421988 660.464138 1015.994907
2025-08-17 114.074501 157.898249 221.354791 323.653630 492.070502 773.701968 1318.294298
2025-08-24 101.182918 144.754482 210.688985 322.742587 519.654880 876.352300 1641.971522
2025-08-31 91.269163 134.327698 202.025209 322.569127 547.270969 985.724963 2026.661960
2025-09-07 84.374858 127.491939 197.751205 328.539628 586.730361 1129.373140 2559.788570
2025-09-14 75.304515 115.958699 183.943214 314.695049 584.128012 1183.541593 2900.317973
2025-09-21 69.769537 109.611179 178.104211 314.562827 609.323003 1308.314993 3512.634527
2025-09-28 65.384162 104.696339 174.089018 317.144740 640.837244 1459.461622 4314.380517
2025-10-05 63.952289 104.737175 179.032918 338.653817 721.074667 1770.177171 5948.352252
2025-10-12 62.540487 104.620243 183.598776 360.162909 807.614295 2140.399905 8253.549513
2025-10-19 58.567343 99.771217 179.125704 362.813724 852.238776 2424.398844 10688.822149
2025-10-26 55.573532 96.511775 177.552456 372.335167 920.768519 2839.911556 14716.333974
2025-11-02 52.081733 91.887518 172.495140 372.427963 962.448458 3187.925985 19210.364622
2025-11-09 49.378258 88.522598 169.645032 377.487288 1021.841901 3657.009278 26212.255024
2025-11-16 46.491196 84.485469 164.792840 376.383955 1061.338508 4074.364730 34509.674761
2025-11-23 43.958802 80.927863 160.565071 376.173899 1104.556111 4554.172893 46202.422021
2025-11-30 42.147454 78.699830 159.093960 383.407126 1178.477071 5280.086616 67079.303991
2025-12-07 39.031129 73.420286 149.883493 366.644299 1154.916774 5416.203030 78447.868758
2025-12-14 37.166820 70.690585 146.459113 366.484373 1198.742450 6039.831544 108805.813883
2025-12-21 35.636566 68.557798 144.237080 369.607833 1258.440144 6858.625713 159899.612355
2025-12-28 35.376456 69.213068 148.979210 395.674777 1432.805475 8850.603777 326907.000784